ELIZA

return kwic search for model out of >500 occurrences
469466 occurrences (No.35 in the rank) during 5 years in the PubMed. [no cache] 500 found

237) To do so, we propose a hidden Markov model in which the transition between both phases is modelled as a function of the epidemic state of the previous week.

--- ABSTRACT ---

PMID:21873301 DOI:10.1177/0962280211414853

2015 Statistical methods in medical research

* Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models with a hidden Markov structure for the detection of influenza epidemic outbreaks.

- Considerable effort has been devoted to the development of statistical algorithms for the automated monitoring of influenza surveillance data. In this article, we introduce a framework of models for the early detection of the onset of an influenza epidemic which is applicable to different kinds of surveillance data. In particular, the process of the observed cases is modelled via a Bayesian Hierarchical Poisson model in which the intensity parameter is a function of the incidence rate. The key point is to consider this incidence rate as a normal distribution in which both parameters (mean and variance) are modelled differently, depending on whether the system is in an epidemic or non-epidemic phase. To do so, we propose a hidden Markov model in which the transition between both phases is modelled as a function of the epidemic state of the previous week. Different options for modelling the rates are described, including the option of modelling the mean at each phase as autoregressive processes of order 0, 1 or 2. Bayesian inference is carried out to provide the probability of being in an epidemic state at any given moment. The methodology is applied to various influenza data sets. The results indicate that our methods outperform previous approaches in terms of sensitivity, specificity and timeliness.

--- ABSTRACT END ---

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(1)63 of	(12)7 as	(23)3 assessment	(34)2 demonstrated
(2)55 null	(13)6 are	(24)3 fit	(35)2 it
(3)35 for	(14)6 system	(25)3 revealed	(36)2 joints
(4)28 was	(15)5 a	(26)3 showed	(37)2 may
(5)26 to	(16)5 selection	(27)3 systems	(38)2 not
(6)16 and	(17)5 which	(28)3 were	(39)2 results
(7)16 in	(18)5 will	(29)2 allows	(40)2 species
(8)16 is	(19)4 can	(30)2 analyses	(41)2 such
(9)16 with	(20)4 parameters	(31)2 appropriate	(42)2 used
(10)12 that	(21)4 using	(32)2 biological
(11)8 the	(22)4 we	(33)2 consists

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--- WordNet output for model --- =>模型, 作る, 形に表わす, 模範, モデル, 型, 模型の, 模範となる, かたどる, 手本, モデルをする, 手本となる Overview of noun model The noun model has 9 senses (first 7 from tagged texts) 1. (19) model, theoretical account, framework -- (a hypothetical description of a complex entity or process; "the computer program was based on a model of the circulatory and respiratory systems") 2. (11) model -- (a type of product; "his car was an old model") 3. (6) model, poser -- (a person who poses for a photographer or painter or sculptor; "the president didn't have time to be a model so the artist worked from photos") 4. (4) model, simulation -- (representation of something (sometimes on a smaller scale)) 5. (3) exemplar, example, model, good example -- (something to be imitated; "an exemplar of success"; "a model of clarity"; "he is the very model of a modern major general") 6. (1) model, role model -- (someone worthy of imitation; "every child needs a role model") 7. (1) model, example -- (a representative form or pattern; "I profited from his example") 8. mannequin, manikin, mannikin, manakin, fashion model, model -- (a woman who wears clothes to display fashions; "she was too fat to be a mannequin") 9. model, modelling, modeling -- (the act of representing something (usually on a smaller scale)) Overview of verb model The verb model has 6 senses (first 2 from tagged texts) 1. (1) model, pattern -- (plan or create according to a model or models) 2. (1) model, mold, mould -- (form in clay, wax, etc; "model a head with clay") 3. model, pose, sit, posture -- (assume a posture as for artistic purposes; "We don't know the woman who posed for Leonardo so often") 4. model -- (display (clothes) as a mannequin; "model the latest fashion") 5. model, simulate -- (create a representation or model of; "The pilots are trained in conditions simulating high-altitude flights") 6. model, mock up -- (construct a model of; "model an airplane") Overview of adj model The adj model has 1 sense (first 1 from tagged texts) 1. (1) exemplary, model -- (worthy of imitation; "exemplary behavior"; "model citizens") --- WordNet end ---